Saturday, June 28, 2025

So As The Geo-Political Threats Of The World Demand Our Attention Let's Not Forget About The Trans-National Crime Cartels Shall We?

 You have to give credit where it's due, The Narco-Trafficers are always looking to improve their "Supply-Chain" methods. The article below is from The Insightcrime.org website. Give it a look, and be amazed!

 

Under the Radar: What Hundreds of Narco Sub Seizures Tell Us About Global Cocaine Routes

 

A near-record number of narco submarines were intercepted crossing the Atlantic and Pacific in 2024, with drug-laden vessels appearing in new areas as traffickers increasingly use this discreet shipping method to get cocaine to international markets.

Narco subs have been around for decades, primarily used to ferry cocaine from Colombia’s Pacific coast to Central America or Mexico. But recent seizure data for these hard-to-detect boats suggest that narco subs are growing in number, reach, and sophistication.

 

To continue reading, and viewing images  and videos, click on the link below.

https://insightcrime.org/news/under-radar-what-hundreds-ofnarco-sub-seizures-tell-us-about-global-cocaine-routes/

Friday, June 27, 2025

Massad Ayoob On The "Surreptitous Draw"

 From Mas Ayoob, a brief tutorial on how to get your firearm arm into action prior to some situation going sideways on you. Because sometimes, if your situational awareness is actually working, you might just be able to get an edge over the bad guy.

 



Sunday, June 22, 2025

Sunday With Blackthorn - Another NYC Article about being "Armed In Gotham"

 Quick Caveat: This article was written in 2023. Since then, several issues with the current CCW law requirements have been resolved, but several others are still being litigated in the courts.

copyright@https://www.americas1stfreedom.org

Armed in Gotham

A first-person story on trying to carry concealed in the Big Apple.

by James Panero posted on April 25, 2023

New York City has some of the most-restrictive firearms laws in the country. Still, in 2021, criminals committed nearly 8,000 felonies with guns in what some affectionately call “Gotham.” How does that add up? The disparity in these two facts shows that, indeed, if it is criminal to have a gun, only criminals will have guns.

Yes, the balance of power between criminals and law-abiding residents of New York has long needed some serious recalibration.

But then, last June, New York state residents interested in their own protection—and in exercising their constitutional rights—found what appeared to be welcome relief in the ruling by the United States Supreme Court in an NRA-backed case called New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen (2022). The case originated when the petitioners, Brandon Koch and Robert Nash (described by the Court as “adult, law-abiding New York residents”) applied for unrestricted licenses to carry handguns in public for self-defense.

To Continue reading the rest of this article, click on the link below:

https://www.americas1stfreedom.org/content/armed-in-gotham/

Saturday, June 21, 2025

Lee Morrison On the Mental Aspects Of Combatives Part 3

 This is the third and final part of the Psy-Com Video Series from Urban Combatives.

There appears to be a connectivity problem with the video at the Youtube end. If it doesn't play for you when you click on it, use the link below to be taken directly to Youtube.
 

  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RIr37pQ5pQc

Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Sunday, June 15, 2025

Sunday With Blacktorn - Street Craft: How To Spot A Bad Guy

 This article is by way of Greg Ellifritz of the activeresponsetraining.net website, it's well worth your time.

Original link; 

 https://www.activeresponsetraining.net/how-to-spot-a-bad-guy-a-comprehensive-look-at-body-language-and-pre-assault-indicators

 

How to Spot a Bad Guy - A Comprehensive Look at Body Language and Pre-Assault Indicators

It was day time on a crowded big-city street in a country far from home. It seems my girlfriend and I attracted the attention of a gang of bag thieves.

I noticed a guy on an opposite street corner talking on a cell phone. He caught my attention when he seemed to be pointing us out to some unseen other person. As soon as he pointed at us we picked up a tail. Two guys appeared out of nowhere and started following us very closely. The dude on the cell phone supervised from a distance.

I slowed down our walking pace. So did our followers. Not a good sign. The man on the phone paralleled us from across the street. I made a quick stop and forced our followers to walk past. They didn’t like that at all and we could tell that it screwed up their plan.

It was quite the study in the criminal assault paradigm. The two men were obviously together, but walking a half step apart to seem separate. They weren’t talking. One guy was pretending to look at a cell phone in a very unnatural posture (trying to look inconspicuous). The other was giving off constant “grooming cues” touching his face, neck, and hair as he nervously kept looking over his shoulder to check our position.

They were obviously up to something. I warned my girlfriend and slowed the pace even more. The two guys slowed down as well, keeping the same distance between us. In between nervous strokes of his neck, I saw one of the men dart his hand into his pocket. He pulled it out and had something gold and metallic-colored in his palm. I couldn’t tell what it was, but it looked like brass knuckles of some sort. Go time.

I quickly maneuvered between my girlfriend and the two men so that I could give her a chance to get away as I accessed my knife. She saw what I was doing (without knowing what had prompted my draw) and was astute enough to say “Hey! Let’s check out this restaurant!” as she pulled me into an eatery we were passing. Smart girl. The crooks kept walking and I didn’t have to stab anyone.

Pre-assault indicators are universal. It doesn’t matter whether you are at home or abroad. Be alert when you start seeing any predatory movement patterns or deliberate approaches in a crowd.

Pay attention to all of the following body language:

Hands- Hands above the waistline and or being clenched are a warning sign. Look at people who are calm and are not angry. Their hands will be relaxed and generally below waist level. When the hands come up, get ready for action. Any time a person is hiding his hands may indicate that he is in possession of a weapon.

Lower body- Standing in a bladed stance with one leg (and the same side hand) back and out of view is a sign that the person has hostile intentions or is concealing a weapon. Standing on the balls of the feet indicates that the person is getting ready for rapid movement, which may also precede an attack

Arm movements– Wide gesticulating outside the framework of the body is threat and posturing. It’s the sign of a person who is trying to blow off some steam. Gestures inside the body frame and pointing are more closely associated with violent actions.

Breathing– As adrenaline spikes, the criminal’s breathing rate will increase. If you notice someone who appears to be “panting,” it should be a warning sign. Likewise, it should also be a warning when you see or hear someone take a big, deep, breath or audibly sigh. The criminal may be taking these actions to consciously slow his breathing rate and calm down so that he doesn’t prematurely alert you to his plans.

“Thousand yard stare”– Be especially alert if you see someone with an empty stare who isn’t responsive to his environment.

Other signs– If the person is mentally ill or exceptionally angry, you might see clenching or grinding the teeth. Occasionally you’ll see the contemptuous snarling of lips. Their face will flush red. They will also be breathing more rapidly than normal. Angry people and the mentally ill are often unpredictable and it’s best to avoid them, even if they aren’t posing an obvious immediate threat to you.

Obvious danger signals

Beyond mere body language, there are other indicators to watch for that may give you an early warning that you are dealing with a potential criminal. Look out for these indicators as well:

Masking Behaviors, Pacifying Actions and “Grooming Cues”– One of the really obvious pre-assault indicators is the unnecessary touching of the face, neck, or upper body. Described using different terms depending on the expert cited, these actions all have the same purpose, to “hide” psychological discomfort.

As criminals are evaluating you as a victim or planning their attack, their stress levels rise. The criminals don’t want to get hurt and they don’t want to get caught. The idea of pain, death, or imprisonment amps up the criminal’s fear and baseline level of stress. They know this is happening and subconsciously fear that you will pick up on their nervousness and do something to prevent their successful commission of the crime.

The criminal doesn’t want you to see his psychological stress reactions, so he subconsciously “masks” them by covering his face, eyes, or neck. It is very common to see criminals do the following immediately before their attack:

– Touching the face or neck

– Wiping at the nose or mouth

– Rubbing the eyes

– Smoothing the hair

– Rubbing the neck

– Scratching the head

– Rubbing the arms or chest as if shivering

– Or making any other gesture that partially conceals the criminal’s face/neck area from view

These cues occur very late in the game. If you are seeing them, the attack will happen within the next couple seconds. Get ready to act.

“Target Glancing”– When a criminal wants to steal something from you, he has to figure out how to physically remove it from your protection. Sometimes that takes time. While the criminal is figuring out his plan of action, he will likely be staring at what he wants to take. This is called this “target glancing.”

Any time someone stares intently at some item (especially a valuable item) in your possession, assume that he is planning on stealing it. Immediately implement countermeasures to ensure that he won’t be able to proceed with the criminal activity he is planning. If you take immediate action, there is a good chance the criminal will become frustrated and move on to another victim.

“Looking Around”– Immediately prior to his attack, the criminal has to make sure that there is no one in the immediate area who can frustrate his plans. The criminal will take a quick look around to ensure there are no cops or security guards in the area. He may also be looking for cameras or escape routes. This indicator almost always occurs. If you are being approached by someone who displays a grooming cue and then looks left and right in a furtive manner, get ready. You are about to be attacked.

While we are discussing the direction that a criminal may look, I should also mention criminals often “check their tail.” They look behind themselves to see if anyone is following or watching. If you are observing someone and you notice frequent looks to the rear, you can safely assume that the person you are watching is a criminal, a cop, or a spy. You don’t want to have contact with any of those people.

Predatory Movement Patterns– Criminals targeting you will regularly move in a predictable fashion. Anyone attempting to correlate their movement with yours (following, paralleling, directly approaching in crowds) should be viewed as a danger. Running directly towards you is an obvious threat cue.

People who turn or look away when you notice them are worthy of your attention. A conspicuous lack of movement should also ping your radar. People who are sitting in parked cars without getting out should be watched suspiciously.

A sudden change in status (focusing of attention) – If someone is watching you then suddenly looks away, he is probably trying to hide his attention. Likewise if someone “locks in” on you with his eyes, you should be ready for a potential attack.

The display of any one pre-assault indicator or body language cue is not enough to instantly brand the person who displays it as a serial killer. “Normal” people sometimes make these gestures as well. Look at clusters of signs. When you start seeing two, three, or four different indicators, recognize that you are likely being groomed for a criminal attack.

“I knew something was wrong.”- When speaking to crime victims, they almost universally tell me about a “sixth sense” or “bad feeling” that they experienced immediately prior to the attack. I firmly believe that this intuitive sense that something isn’t right is your subconscious mind alerting you that it has noticed one or more of these pre-assault indicators. Don’t try to deny or rationalize the feeling. It’s your own body’s early warning system.

Perhaps the best use of this list of behaviors is to provide a conscious structure to what your subconscious mind already understands. When you get a “creepy” feeling combined with obvious pre-assault indicators, you must act without hesitation. Flee the scene, call for help, or access a weapon and prepare to fight. Implement whatever self-protection plan you have devised. If you don’t, you too will join the ranks of the thousands of people who are victims of crime every year.

Other Potential Danger Signs

Tattoos- Numerous studies have shown that the presence of visible tattoos is far more prevalent in criminal populations than people who have never been arrested. This holds true across almost all cultures. It doesn’t mean everyone with a tattoo is a criminal; but most criminals have tattoos. Look at tattoos (especially on the face, neck, or hands) as one of many possible warning signs.

“Branding” style of dress- People use clothing and accessories to communicate their association with certain gangs or cultural elements. A common type of “branding” is the wearing of “colors” by street gangs. Each gang has a particular color each member wears to show alliance or solidarity. You may not know which color signifies which gang, but you should be extra alert when you are approached by groups of people all wearing the same dominant color. There is a good chance that those people belong to a criminal gang.

Beyond colors, other “branding” efforts can include wearing the same style of clothing (like oversized T-shirts), clothing created by the same company, similar tattoos, the same style of jewelry, or the same kind of hat. When you notice “branding” be extra cautious.

Facial Expressions– A person’s facial expressions are another reliable indicator of potential threats. Fortunately for us, Paul Ekman, the world’s foremost authority on facial expressions, has determined that certain key expressions are universal. That means the expressions are the same no matter what geographical area of the world or culture a person comes from. In his book Emotions Revealed, Dr. Ekman categorizes these universal facial expressions and describes their significance.

We don’t have to learn all of the expressions, just the ones we need to keep ourselves safe. People displaying facial expressions involving anger, hatred, contempt, and disgust are most likely to have bad intentions. These are the people we want to stay away from.

What does an angry facial expression look like? The easy way to find out is to look at yourself in the mirror while imagining a situation that makes you mad. Take note of what happens to your face: your eyebrows are pulled down so that their inner corners move towards your nose, your eyes widen, and your lips are pressed closed. The eyebrows are the big indicator. When they are pulled down, you should consider it a danger cue.

Other worrisome facial expressions are those of contempt or disgust. According to Ekman, these emotions can be identified when we see someone combine a wrinkled nose and a raised upper lip. People showing open contempt for you may be planning on doing you harm.

While we are discussing facial expressions, it’s important to recognize what your own facial expressions may mean to an attacker. Displaying fear and surprise may embolden a criminal. Ekman states “An attacker looking for an easy victim may interpret a fearful expression as a sign that we won’t fight back and will be easily overcome.” Even if you are scared, it’s important not to allow the fear you are feeling to show on your face.

We all easily recognize the look of surprise or fear on a person’s face. The scared or surprised person will have wide open eyes and may have an open mouth. Practice getting used to changing fearful expressions into angry expressions. The wide open eyes are common to both emotions. The difference is in the eyebrows. When the eyebrows are pulled down, it signifies anger rather than surprise.

Here’s a drill for you to practice in the mirror. Start with a surprised expression with eyes wide open and mouth agape. Then simply pull your eyebrows down and press your lips together. You’ve changed a fearful look into an angry look. When a criminal predator sees that change in facial expressions, he may move on to find a victim who isn’t as likely to fight back. Practice changing fear into anger at every opportunity you can. It needs to be a reflexive act if you want to be able to depend on it in a crisis.

Other odd appearance cues- Any obvious signs of drug abuse should be considered warning cues. Metallic spray paint around the mouth and nose, the presence of lots of scabs on the skin, itching motions (crank bugs), needle tracks, and small bruises on the extremities all indicate drug use. While not all drug users are predatory criminals, many predatory criminals are drug users. It pays to be alert to these indications of drug abuse.

How to Avoid Looking Like a Victim

We’ve talked about criminal pre-assault indicators, now it’s time to discuss “victim indicators.” What makes a criminal choose a particular person as a victim?

The authors of the book Left of Bang describe behavioral clusters that they have named “submissive clusters” and “uncomfortable clusters.” These behaviors are universal across all cultures and nations. When several of these behaviors are seen together in the same person, it signals that a person is overly submissive or extremely uncomfortable with their surroundings. Uncomfortable and submissive people are victimized more often than calm and confident people. The following behaviors form the submissive and uncomfortable clusters:

– Bouncing feet

– Feet oriented towards a door or escape route

– Legs crossed while seated or feet wrapped around chair legs

– Torso leaning away from a potential threat

– Torso rotated towards exits or escape routes

– Arms across the chest or pulled into the chest

– Arms or hands covering the groin

– Shoulders raised

– Darting eyes

– Any body posture that makes you appear smaller

– Wrists or palms exposed

– Failing to make eye contact

These clusters are difficult to detect by yourself. Give the list to a friend and have the friend evaluate you one day when you are out in public. If you or your friends notice any of these behaviors, work to stop displaying them. If you seem less like a victim, you won’t be victimized as often.

Besides the behavior clusters identified in Left of Bang, we can also look at some other victimology research to learn what we shouldn’t be doing. A well-known study showed videos of people walking down the street to incarcerated prisoners. The prisoners were asked to subjectively rate each person as a “good” victim or not. There was wide agreement between all of the prisoners about who exactly they would attack and who they would avoid.

The prisoners looked primarily at the physical characteristics of the victim and the victim’s relative awareness. Among the physical characteristics they evaluated, they looked primarily at gait patterns, body type, sex, and relative fitness levels. Fatter and less fit people were chosen more often than fitter-looking folks. Women were chosen more often than men. Anyone from either sex who had a gait abnormality (was walking funny) was chosen. All of these factors indicate relative weakness. In any predatory system, the weak get eaten. Don’t display characteristics of weakness.

The prisoners assessed relative awareness by looking at whether the people were paying attention to their surroundings or not. They also assessed whether the person appeared “clueless” or seemed to understand what was happening around him. Unsurprisingly, criminals chose the least aware people as victims. In total, the crooks tended to pick those people who were weak, alone, and not aware of what was going on. Do your best to avoid fitting into any of those categories when out in public.

Greg Ellifritz is the full time firearms and defensive tactics training officer for a central Ohio police department. He holds instructor or master instructor certifications in more than 75 different weapon systems, defensive tactics programs and police specialty areas. Greg has a master's degree in Public Policy and Management and is an instructor for both the Ohio Peace Officer's Training Academy and the Tactical Defense Institute.

For more information or to contact Greg, visit his training site at Active Response Training

 

 


Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Street Craft: Don't Be Distracted By A Question +Plus+ The Blackthorn Blog Hits A New Milestone

 Firstly, at some sometime in the early morning hours of today, the Blog hit 250,000 pageviews. Accordingly, my thanks goes out to  every one of you people who take the time to check the Blog out. I appreciate it.

 

And now, for the practical part of our program!

 

A lot of people may think that the article below is too"simplistic" or "basic" in terms of protecting yourself  from a robbery or assault when you're out and about. And you'd be partially right in the sense that the scenario from both the criminal and defensive aspects really are simplistic and basic. 

And yet, criminals still get away with it, and people still get taken in by it. The article below is from the activeresponsetraining.net website of Greg Ellifritz, and worth the time to read it.

 

 https://www.activeresponsetraining.net/distracting-questions

Monday, June 9, 2025

So It Seems That Russia And China's "Special Relationship" May Not Be That Special After All

 Apparently, things are not quite what they seem. 

 

 Secret Russian Intelligence Document Shows Deep Suspicion of China
                    Copyright@ NYTimes
Russia’s spy hunters are increasingly worried about China’s
espionage, even as the two countries grow c
loser.


By Jacob Judah Paul Sonne and Anton Troianovski
June 7, 2025

In public, President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia says his country’s growing friendship with China is unshakable — a strategic military and economic collaboration that has entered a golden era. But in the corridors of Lubyanka, the headquarters of Russia’s domestic security agency, known as the F.S.B., a secretive intelligence unit refers to the Chinese as “the enemy.”

This unit, which has not previously been disclosed, has warned that China is a serious threat to Russian security. Its officers say that Beijing is increasingly trying to recruit Russian spies and get its hands on sensitive military technology, at times by luring disaffected Russian scientists.

The intelligence officers say that China is spying on the Russian military’s operations in Ukraine to learn about Western weapons and warfare. They fear that Chinese academics are laying the groundwork to make claims on Russian territory. And they have warned that Chinese intelligence agents are carrying out espionage in the Arctic using mining firms and university research centers as cover.

The threats are laid out in an eight-page internal F.S.B. planning document, obtained by The New York Times, that sets priorities for fending off Chinese espionage. The document is undated, raising the possibility that it is a draft, though it appears from context to have been written in late 2023 or early 2024.

The Origin of the Secret File
How We Obtained and Vetted a Russian Intelligence Document

Ares Leaks, a cybercrime group, obtained the document but did not say how it did so. That makes definitive authentication impossible, but The Times shared the report with six Western intelligence agencies, all of which assessed it to be authentic. The document gives the most detailed behind-the-scenes view to date of Russian counterintelligence’s thinking about China. Since Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Moscow’s new bond with Beijing has shifted the global balance of power. The rapidly expanding partnership is one of the most consequential, and opaque, relationships in modern geopolitics.

Russia has survived years of Western financial sanctions following the invasion, proving wrong the many politicians and experts who predicted the collapse of the country’s economy. That survival is in no small part due to China.

China is the largest customer for Russian oil and provides essential computer chips, software and military components. When Western companies fled Russia, Chinese brands stepped in to replace them. The two countries say they want to collaborate in a vast number of areas, including making movies and building a base on the moon.

Mr. Putin and Xi Jinping, China’s leader, are doggedly pursuing what they call a partnership with “no limits.” But the top-secret F.S.B. memo shows there are, in fact, limits.

“You have the political leadership, and these guys are all for rapprochement with China,” said Andrei Soldatov, an expert on Russia’s intelligence services who lives in exile in Britain and who reviewed the document at the request of The Times. “You have the intelligence and security services, and they are very suspicious.”

Mr. Putin’s spokesman, Dmitri S. Peskov, declined to comment. The Chinese Foreign Ministry did not respond to requests for comment on the document.
Want to stay updated on what’s happening in China and Russia? Sign up for Your Places: Global Update, and we’ll send our latest coverage to your inbox.

The Russian document describes a “tense and dynamically developing” intelligence battle in the shadows between the two outwardly friendly nations.

Three days before Mr. Putin invaded Ukraine in 2022, the F.S.B. approved a new counterintelligence program called “Entente-4,” the document reveals. The code name, an apparent tongue-in-cheek reference to Moscow’s growing friendship with Beijing, belied the initiative’s real intent: to prevent Chinese spies from undermining Russian interests.

The timing almost certainly was not accidental. Russia was diverting nearly all of its military and spy resources to Ukraine, more than 4,000 miles from its border with China, and most likely worried that Beijing could try to capitalize on this distraction.

Since then, according to the document, the F.S.B. observed China doing just that. Chinese intelligence agents stepped up efforts to recruit Russian officials, experts, journalists and businesspeople close to power in Moscow, the document says.       

To counter this, the F.S.B. instructed its officers to intercept the “threat” and “prevent the transfer of important strategic information to the Chinese.” Officers were ordered to conduct in-person meetings with Russian citizens who work closely with China and warn them that Beijing was trying to take advantage of Russia and obtain advanced scientific research, according to the document.

The F.S.B. ordered “the constant accumulation of information about users” on the Chinese messaging app WeChat. That included hacking phones of espionage targets and analyzing the data in a special software tool held by a unit of the F.S.B., the document says.

The possible long-term alignment of two authoritarian governments, with a combined population of nearly 1.6 billion people and armed with some 6,000 nuclear warheads, has stoked deep concern in Washington.

Some members of the Trump administration believe that, through outreach to Mr. Putin, Washington can begin to peel Russia away from China and avoid what Secretary of State Marco Rubio has called “two nuclear powers aligned against the United States.”

“I’m going to have to un-unite them, and I think I can do that, too,” Donald J. Trump said shortly before his election in November. “I have to un-unite them.”

Read one way, the F.S.B. document lends credence to the theory that, with the right approach, Russia can be cleaved away from China. The document describes mistrust and suspicion on both sides of the relationship. China is conducting polygraphs on its agents as soon as they return home, tightening scrutiny of the 20,000 Russian students in China and trying to recruit Russians with Chinese spouses as potential spies, the document says.

But another reading of the document leads to the opposite conclusion. The fact that Mr. Putin is apparently well aware of the risks of a closer relationship with China and has decided to push ahead anyway could suggest little opportunity for the United States to get Russia to change course.

“Putin believes that he can go much deeper into this Chinese embrace, and it’s not risk free, but it is worth it,” said Alexander Gabuev, the director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, who reviewed the document at the request of The Times. “But we also see there are people within the system who are skeptical of that approach.”

Mr. Putin has courted Mr. Xi for years, in more than 40 personal meetings, and has cemented a far deeper partnership with China since invading Ukraine. The two countries have a natural economic synergy, with Russia being one of the world’s largest energy producers and China the world’s largest energy consumer.

That poses a delicate challenge for Russian counterintelligence agents. The document shows them trying to contain the risks posed by Chinese intelligence without causing “negative consequences for bilateral relations.” Officers were warned to avoid any public “mention of the Chinese intelligence services as a potential enemy.”

Most likely written for circulation to F.S.B. field offices, the directive offers a rare glimpse into the inner world of one of the most powerful parts of the Russian intelligence establishment: the F.S.B.’s Department for Counterintelligence Operations, known as the D.K.R.O. The document was written by the D.K.R.O.’s 7th Service, which is responsible for countering espionage from China and other parts of Asia.

Anxiety about Russia’s susceptibility to an increasingly powerful Beijing dominates the memo. But it is unclear how common those worries are across the Russian establishment, beyond the counterintelligence unit. Even allied nations regularly spy on one another.

“To go back to the old adage, there is no such thing as friendly intel services,” said Paul Kolbe, a senior fellow at Harvard’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, who served for 25 years in the C.I.A. Directorate of Operations, including in Russia. “You don’t have to scratch very deep in any Russian military or intel official to get deep suspicion of China. In the long run, China is, in spite of the unlimited partnership and how useful they are, also a potential threat.”

China targets Russia’s war secrets and scientists

Soon after Russian troops pushed across the border into Ukraine, officials from Chinese defense firms and institutes tied to Chinese intelligence began flooding into Russia. Their goal, according to the F.S.B. document, was to better understand the war.

China has world-class scientists, but its military has not fought a war since a monthlong conflict with Vietnam in 1979. The result is anxiety in China about how its military would perform against Western weapons in a conflict over Taiwan or the South China Sea. Chinese intelligence officials are eager to understand Russia’s fight against an army backed by the West.

“Of particular interest to Beijing is information about combat methods using drones, modernization of their software and methods for countering new types of Western weapons,” the F.S.B. document says, adding that Beijing believes the war in Ukraine will become drawn-out. The conflict has revolutionized warfare technology and tactics.

China has long lagged behind Russia in its aviation expertise, and the document says that Beijing has made that a priority target. China is targeting military pilots and researchers in aerohydrodynamics, control systems and aeroelasticity. Also being sought out, according to the document, are Russian specialists who worked on the discontinued ekranoplan, a hovercraft-type warship first deployed by the Soviet Union.

“Priority recruitment is given to former employees of aircraft factories and research institutes, as well as current employees who are dissatisfied with the closure of the ekranoplan development program by the Russian Ministry of Defense or who are experiencing financial difficulties,” the report says.

It is not clear from the document whether those recruitment efforts are limited to hiring Russian specialists for Chinese ventures or also extend to recruiting them as spies.

The document also shows that Russia is very concerned about how China views the war in Ukraine and is trying to feed Beijing’s spies with positive information about Russian operations. And it commands Russian counterintelligence operatives to prepare a report for the Kremlin about any possible changes in Beijing’s policy.

Western leaders have accused China of providing Russia with essential weapons components and working to conceal it. The F.S.B. document lends support to that claim, stating that Beijing had proposed establishing supply chains to Moscow that circumvent Western sanctions and had offered to participate in the production of drones and other unspecified high-tech military equipment. The document does not say whether those proposals were carried out, though China has supplied Russia with drones.

The F.S.B. memo also hints at Chinese interest in the Wagner mercenary group, a Russia-backed paramilitary group that propped up governments in Africa for years and fought alongside Russian troops in Ukraine.

“The Chinese plan to use the experience of Wagner fighters in their own armed forces and private military companies operating in the countries of Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America,” the directive says.

The wording of the report does not indicate whether the F.S.B. believes that China wants to recruit former Wagner fighters for its own formations or simply wants to learn from their experience.


Moscow worries Beijing is trying to encroach on its territory

Russia has long feared encroachment by China along their shared 2,615-mile border. And Chinese nationalists for years have taken issue with 19th-century treaties in which Russia annexed large portions of land, including modern-day Vladivostok.

That issue is now of key concern, with Russia weakened by the war and economic sanctions and less able than ever to push back against Beijing. The F.S.B. report raises concerns that some academics in China have been promoting territorial claims against Russia.

China is searching for traces of “ancient Chinese peoples” in the Russian Far East, possibly to influence local opinion that is favorable to Chinese claims, the document says. In 2023, China published an official map that included historical Chinese names for cities and areas within Russia.

The F.S.B. ordered officers to expose such “revanchist” activities, as well as attempts by China to use Russian scientists and archival funds for research aimed at attaching a historical affiliation to borderlands.

“Conduct preventative work with respect to Russian citizens involved in the said activities,” the memo orders. “Restrict entry into our country for foreigners as a measure of influence.”

China is unnerving Russia in Central Asia and the Arctic

The concerns about China expanding its reach are not limited to Russia’s Far East borderlands. Central Asian countries answered to Moscow during the Soviet era. Today, the F.S.B. reports, Beijing has developed a “new strategy” to promote Chinese soft power in the region.

China began rolling out that strategy in Uzbekistan, according to the document. The details of the strategy are not included in the document other than to say it involves humanitarian exchange. Uzbekistan and neighboring countries are important to Mr. Putin, who sees restoring the Soviet sphere of influence as part of his legacy.

The report also highlights China’s interest in Russia’s vast territory in the Arctic and the Northern Sea Route, which hugs Russia’s northern coast. Historically, those waters have been too icy for reliable shipping, but they are expected become increasingly busy because of climate change.

The route slashes shipping time between Asia and Europe. Developing that route would make it easier for China to sell its goods.

Russia historically tried to maintain strict control over Chinese activity in the Arctic. But Beijing believes that Western sanctions will force Russia to turn to China to maintain its “aging Arctic infrastructure,” according to the F.S.B. document. Already, the Russian gas giant Novatek has relied on China to salvage its Arctic liquefied natural gas project, after previously using the American oil services firm Baker Hughes.

The F.S.B. asserts that Chinese spies are active in the Arctic, as well. The report says Chinese intelligence is trying to obtain information about Russia’s development of the Arctic, using institutions of higher education and mining companies in particular.

But despite all of these vulnerabilities, the F.S.B. report makes clear that jeopardizing the support of China would be worse. The document squarely warns officers that they must receive approval from the highest echelons of the Russian security establishment before taking any sensitive action at all.

Aaron Krolik, Julian E. Barnes and Michael Schwirtz contributed reporting.

Paul Sonne is an international correspondent, focusing on Russia and the varied impacts of President Vladimir V. Putin’s domestic and foreign policies, with a focus on the war against Ukraine.

Anton Troianovski is the Moscow bureau chief for The Times. He writes about Russia, Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia.

Sunday, June 8, 2025

Sunday With Blackthorn - The Realities Of Getting A Concealed Carry Permit In NYC

 The following article contains what it's like to get a concealed carry permit in NYC in spite of the changes made to satisfy a SCOTUS ruling from 2 years ago. For the record I am a member at the Range where the training Class was given. 

 

A Weekend in a New York City Pistol Class

by James Panero posted on May 4, 2025 
 
Original Link
  https://www.americas1stfreedom.org/content/a-weekend-in-a-new-york-city-pistol-class/

The line early Saturday morning was out the door. As we gathered around the entrance to the turn-of-the-century building, with restaurants and furniture stores populating this historic block off Fifth Avenue in New York’s Flatiron District, a gentleman holding a handful of targets spoke up. “I haven’t seen it this busy in a long time. It’s people waking up. What are you here for, the 18-hour class? How much, $500?” He paused for a moment, “$500 for a right. The way things are going, you’re going to need it.”

With coffee in hand, 24 of us waited with the regulars outside the Westside Rifle & Pistol Range on this cold February morning—there for the start of our state-mandated two-day training class for a concealed-carry license. The last gun range in Manhattan, located in an unassuming basement below 20th Street since 1964, Westside is New York’s full-service federal firearms license (FFL) dealer. Under the leadership of Darren Leung, the range has also become a lifeline for those looking to exercise their Second Amendment rights in New York City. It offers regular training and licensing classes, not to mention a welcoming oasis in the heart of the Big Apple, for anyone interested. 

Following the landmark 2022 Supreme Court case New York State Rifle & Pistol Association v. Bruen, those rights are finally becoming a little more attainable in Gotham. Since the ruling, New York State can no longer compel residents to prove what it called “proper cause” before they could be issued a firearms license, which had effectively restricted concealed carry to those working with cash or jewelry. “We know of no other constitutional right,” wrote Justice Clarence Thomas in his majority ruling, “that an individual may exercise only after demonstrating to government officers some special need.”   

New York’s progressive governing class was quick to respond, however, by putting up new requirements and restrictions to grind down applicants with ever more bureaucracy. Among these hurdles is an 18-hour mandate for training, testing and target practice—one of the many boxes that must be checked before a personal firearm may be put in your name or even handled, including at a range like Westside. 

These new challenges have not stopped New Yorkers from applying for concealed-carry licenses in record numbers since the ruling. We were the next two dozen in that process as we were led down to the basement classroom. We took our seats in this frigid room of broken-down desk chairs (building heat gets turned off on weekends) and a clutter of flags lining the walls—“Don’t Tread on Me,” “An Appeal to Heaven.”

It gets said that New York gun culture is notably diverse. The evidence was right there around me. A young woman in a designer coat took a seat next to a man speaking English as a second language. A gentleman beside me was the son of a police officer and an experienced marksman who was upgrading from what’s known as a “premises permit,” which only allows him to bring an unloaded and locked firearm to the range and back home, and which many say may soon be phased out. Others in the class had never taken a shot in their lives. Young and old, men and women, all had come for their own reasons, perhaps informed by the riots of 2020, or the threats to American Jews following the terror attacks of Oct. 7, 2023, or the rise in violent crime due to the city’s radically progressive criminal justice reforms. Maybe they were there simply to embrace their constitutional rights and obligations. 

What brought us all together over the following two days was our seasoned instructor, Glenn Herman. Born in New York’s Greenwich Village, wiry and dressed head to toe in black, Herman is a New Yorker’s New Yorker (the address of his website, appropriately enough, is newyorkcityguns.com). Over the 18-hour class, Herman sprinkled in stories of his bar mitzvah with the bad old days of the 1970s (“the Warriors without the funny clothes”). In one moment he talked about the history of rifling. In the next he was onto the applicability of Platonic idealism to our understanding of an armed encounter. By the end, he made what might be a daunting obligation into an enjoyable and fascinating weekend. 

For the first day, we covered the basics: the difference between a revolver and a semi-automatic; the distinction between full-metal-jacket and hollow-point rounds; open versus optical sights; what to do with misfires, hangfires and squib loads; the isosceles over the Weaver stance; the different types of shoulder, hip and ankle holsters; and the essentials of gun safety.

Herman also started in on some of the numerous restrictions around New York gun ownership: that even New York state residents with permits to carry cannot carry in New York City without a permit from the City; and that firearms cannot be passed down even among family members, but must be sold and rebought from an FFL. Herman finished the first day by showing us his own custom-made rig: a holstered Glock Velcroed in a black fanny pack. “I’m getting older and I don’t care what it looks like,” he said of his carry style. 

For day two, Herman took the class into a discussion of the philosophy of concealed carry and the true challenges of following New York’s gun laws. The first was a fuller understanding of the state’s new “sensitive place” laws, a bundle of new restrictions most constitutional observers believe will not survive judicial scrutiny. “New York State is being forced to rejoin the United States when it comes to gun laws,” said Herman, “but when it comes to its Concealed Carry Improvement Act, the improvement is you can’t carry a gun anywhere.” 

In other words, you may now have a firearm, just don’t take it into a government building, a place of worship, a library, a playground, a restaurant, a park, a zoo, a train station, any form of public transportation, where alcohol is served, a polling place, next to a protest (in fact, clear the street if you see one coming) or within the “Times Square Exclusion Zone.” The end result leaves New York gun owners with even more restrictions than what existed before Bruen, when you could at least take a secured and unloaded pistol to the gun range on the subway or through Times Square on a premises permit. Nevertheless, until these laws are successfully challenged and overturned, they must be observed or you risk losing your license. 

The final component of the discussion concerned the ethics of concealed carry. These are deep considerations that apply to everyone invested with the power and responsibility both to defend and take life, something writers such as Massad Ayoob have been addressing for decades. The possession of a concealed firearm presents profound moral challenges that can be even harder to pinpoint than a bullseye at the far end of a 25-yard wire.

“The city will be different for you when you have a loaded firearm,” said Herman. “But you can’t have an anger-management issue. You must train your mind first to be nonviolent. Cultivate a mindset where your instincts are good and deadly force is used only after all other options have been exhausted, you have nowhere left to escape and life is on the line.”

Through Plato, he turned to the core of ancient Greek philosophy, “Socrates was talking about idealized forms. Our truth has to be measured against the truth. Today we call that the standard of ‘the reasonable man.’” Maintaining this reason in the face of a life-and-death situation, and its moral and legal aftermath, is the ultimate responsibility of  carrying a concealed firearm. 

Following our written test and some time on the range with Herman one on one, in which we were each required to hit a target five times, the weekend class was over. At the same time, it was clearer than ever that our test as New York gun owners had only just begun.

Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Street Craft - "Defensive" Grooming Gestures

 I'm assuming here that most of you who follow this Blog know what's meant by the term "Grooming Gestures"  as regards  a potential attacker. They are cues, physical tells that happen as your attacker is working up to physically assault/batter you. 

 

Masking Behaviors, Pacifying Actions and “Grooming Cues” One of the really obvious pre-assault indicators is the unnecessary touching of the face, neck, or upper body. Described using different terms depending on the expert cited, these actions all have the same purpose, to “hide” psychological discomfort.

As criminals are evaluating you as a victim or planning their attack, their stress levels rise. The criminals don’t want to get hurt and they don’t want to get caught. The idea of pain, death, or imprisonment amps up the criminal’s fear and baseline level of stress. They know this is happening and subconsciously fear that you will pick up on their nervousness and do something to prevent their successful commission of the crime.

The criminal doesn’t want you to see his psychological stress reactions, so he subconsciously “masks” them by covering his face, eyes, or neck. It is very common to see criminals do the following immediately before their attack:

– Touching the face or neck

– Wiping at the nose or mouth

– Rubbing the eyes

– Smoothing the hair

– Rubbing the neck

– Scratching the head

– Rubbing the arms or chest as if shivering

– Or making any other gesture that partially conceals the criminal’s face/neck area from view. These cues occur very late in the game. If you are seeing them, the attack will happen within the next couple seconds. Get ready to act.

This video shows how some of these same "Grooming Gestures" can be used defensively.